Transformer self-attention encoder-decoder with multimodal deep learning for response time series forecasting and digital twin support in wind structural health monitoring

The wind-induced structural response forecasting capabilities of a novel transformer methodology are examined here. The model also provides a digital twin component for bridge structural health monitoring. Firstly, the approach uses the temporal characteristics of the system to train a forecasting model. Secondly, the vibration predictions are compared to the measured ones to detect large deviations. Finally, the identified cases are used as an early-warning indicator of structural change. The artificial intelligence-based model outperforms approaches for response forecasting as no assumption on wind stationarity or on structural normal vibration behavior is needed. Specifically, wind-excited dynamic behavior suffers from uncertainty related to obtaining poor predictions when the environmental or traffic conditions change. This results in a hard distinction of what constitutes normal vibration behavior. To this end, a framework is rigorously examined on real-world measurements from the Hardanger Bridge monitored by the Norwegian University of Science and Technology. The approach captures accurate structural behavior in realistic conditions, and with respect to the changes in the system excitation. The results, importantly, highlight the potential of transformer-based digital twin components to serve as next-generation tools for resilient infrastructure management, continuous learning, and adaptive monitoring over the system's lifecycle with respect to temporal characteristics.

Intelligent Cloud Orchestration: A Hybrid Predictive and Heuristic Framework for Cost Optimization

Cloud computing allows scalable resource provisioning, but dynamic workload changes often lead to higher costs due to over-provisioning. Machine learning (ML) approaches, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are effective for predicting workload patterns at a higher level, but they can introduce delays during sudden traffic spikes. In contrast, mathematical heuristics like Game Theory provide fast and reliable scheduling decisions, but they do not account for future workload changes. To address this trade-off, this paper proposes a hybrid orchestration framework that combines LSTM-based predictive scaling with heuristic task allocation. The results show that this approach reduces infrastructure costs close to ML-based models while maintaining fast response times similar to heuristic methods. This work presents a practical approach for improving cost efficiency in cloud resource management.

COTTA: Context-Aware Transfer Adaptation for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving

Developing robust models to accurately predict the trajectories of surrounding agents is fundamental to autonomous driving safety. However, most public datasets, such as the Waymo Open Motion Dataset and Argoverse, are collected in Western road environments and do not reflect the unique traffic patterns, infrastructure, and driving behaviors of other regions, including South Korea. This domain discrepancy leads to performance degradation when state-of-the-art models trained on Western data are deployed in different geographic contexts. In this work, we investigate the adaptability of Query-Centric Trajectory Prediction (QCNet) when transferred from U.S.-based data to Korean road environments. Using a Korean autonomous driving dataset, we compare four training strategies: zero-shot transfer, training from scratch, full fine-tuning, and encoder freezing. Experimental results demonstrate that leveraging pretrained knowledge significantly improves prediction performance. Specifically, selectively fine-tuning the decoder while freezing the encoder yields the best trade-off between accuracy and training efficiency, reducing prediction error by over 66% compared to training from scratch. This study provides practical insights into effective transfer learning strategies for deploying trajectory prediction models in new geographic domains.

From Simulation to Deep Learning: Survey on Network Performance Modeling Approaches

Network performance modeling is a field that predates early computer networks and the beginning of the Internet. It aims to predict the traffic performance of packet flows in a given network. Its applications range from network planning and troubleshooting to feeding information to network controllers for configuration optimization. Traditional network performance modeling has relied heavily on Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and analytical methods grounded in mathematical theories such as Queuing Theory and Network Calculus. However, as of late, we have observed a paradigm shift, with attempts to obtain efficient Parallel DES, the surge of Machine Learning models, and their integration with other methodologies in hybrid approaches. This has resulted in a great variety of modeling approaches, each with its strengths and often tailored to specific scenarios or requirements. In this paper, we comprehensively survey the relevant network performance modeling approaches for wired networks over the last decades. With this understanding, we also define a taxonomy of approaches, summarizing our understanding of the state-of-the-art and how both technology and the concerns of the research community evolve over time. Finally, we also consider how these models are evaluated, how their different nature results in different evaluation requirements and goals, and how this may complicate their comparison.

SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting

In dynamic traffic environments, motion forecasting models must be able to accurately estimate future trajectories continuously. Streaming-based methods are a promising solution, but despite recent advances, their performance often degrades when exposed to heterogeneous observation lengths. To address this, we propose a novel streaming-based motion forecasting framework that explicitly focuses on evolving scenes. Our method incrementally processes incoming observation windows and leverages an instance-aware context streaming to maintain and update latent agent representations across inference steps. A dual training objective further enables consistent forecasting accuracy across diverse observation horizons. Extensive experiments on Argoverse 2, nuScenes, and Argoverse 1 demonstrate the robustness of our approach under evolving scene conditions and also on the single-agent benchmarks. Our model achieves state-of-the-art performance in streaming inference on the Argoverse 2 multi-agent benchmark, while maintaining minimal latency, highlighting its suitability for real-world deployment.

DiffAttn: Diffusion-Based Drivers' Visual Attention Prediction with LLM-Enhanced Semantic Reasoning

Drivers' visual attention provides critical cues for anticipating latent hazards and directly shapes decision-making and control maneuvers, where its absence can compromise traffic safety. To emulate drivers' perception patterns and advance visual attention prediction for intelligent vehicles, we propose DiffAttn, a diffusion-based framework that formulates this task as a conditional diffusion-denoising process, enabling more accurate modeling of drivers' attention. To capture both local and global scene features, we adopt Swin Transformer as encoder and design a decoder that combines a Feature Fusion Pyramid for cross-layer interaction with dense, multi-scale conditional diffusion to jointly enhance denoising learning and model fine-grained local and global scene contexts. Additionally, a large language model (LLM) layer is incorporated to enhance top-down semantic reasoning and improve sensitivity to safety-critical cues. Extensive experiments on four public datasets demonstrate that DiffAttn achieves state-of-the-art (SoTA) performance, surpassing most video-based, top-down-feature-driven, and LLM-enhanced baselines. Our framework further supports interpretable driver-centric scene understanding and has the potential to improve in-cabin human-machine interaction, risk perception, and drivers' state measurement in intelligent vehicles.

Beyond Scanpaths: Graph-Based Gaze Simulation in Dynamic Scenes

Accurately modelling human attention is essential for numerous computer vision applications, particularly in the domain of automotive safety. Existing methods typically collapse gaze into saliency maps or scanpaths, treating gaze dynamics only implicitly. We instead formulate gaze modelling as an autoregressive dynamical system and explicitly unroll raw gaze trajectories over time, conditioned on both gaze history and the evolving environment. Driving scenes are represented as gaze-centric graphs processed by the Affinity Relation Transformer (ART), a heterogeneous graph transformer that models interactions between driver gaze, traffic objects, and road structure. We further introduce the Object Density Network (ODN) to predict next-step gaze distributions, capturing the stochastic and object-centric nature of attentional shifts in complex environments. We also release Focus100, a new dataset of raw gaze data from 30 participants viewing egocentric driving footage. Trained directly on raw gaze, without fixation filtering, our unified approach produces more natural gaze trajectories, scanpath dynamics, and saliency maps than existing attention models, offering valuable insights for the temporal modelling of human attention in dynamic environments.

Zero-shot Cross-domain Knowledge Distillation: A Case study on YouTube Music

Knowledge Distillation (KD) has been widely used to improve the quality of latency sensitive models serving live traffic. However, applying KD in production recommender systems with low traffic is challenging: the limited amount of data restricts the teacher model size, and the cost of training a large dedicated teacher may not be justified. Cross-domain KD offers a cost-effective alternative by leveraging a teacher from a data-rich source domain, but introduces unique technical difficulties, as the features, user interfaces, and prediction tasks can significantly differ. We present a case study of using zero-shot cross-domain KD for multi-task ranking models, transferring knowledge from a (100x) large-scale video recommendation platform (YouTube) to a music recommendation application with significantly lower traffic. We share offline and live experiment results and present findings evaluating different KD techniques in this setting across two ranking models on the music app. Our results demonstrate that zero-shot cross-domain KD is a practical and effective approach to improve the performance of ranking models on low traffic surfaces.

AutoWorld: Scaling Multi-Agent Traffic Simulation with Self-Supervised World Models

Multi-agent traffic simulation is central to developing and testing autonomous driving systems. Recent data-driven simulators have achieved promising results, but rely heavily on supervised learning from labeled trajectories or semantic annotations, making it costly to scale their performance. Meanwhile, large amounts of unlabeled sensor data can be collected at scale but remain largely unused by existing traffic simulation frameworks. This raises a key question: How can a method harness unlabeled data to improve traffic simulation performance? In this work, we propose AutoWorld, a traffic simulation framework that employs a world model learned from unlabeled occupancy representations of LiDAR data. Given world model samples, AutoWorld constructs a coarse-to-fine predictive scene context as input to a multi-agent motion generation model. To promote sample diversity, AutoWorld uses a cascaded Determinantal Point Process framework to guide the sampling processes of both the world model and the motion model. Furthermore, we designed a motion-aware latent supervision objective that enhances AutoWorld's representation of scene dynamics. Experiments on the WOSAC benchmark show that AutoWorld ranks first on the leaderboard according to the primary Realism Meta Metric (RMM). We further show that simulation performance consistently improves with the inclusion of unlabeled LiDAR data, and study the efficacy of each component with ablations. Our method paves the way for scaling traffic simulation realism without additional labeling. Our project page contains additional visualizations and released code.

Data is All You Need: Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) Model

Car-following behavior is fundamental to traffic flow theory, yet traditional models often fail to capture the stochasticity of naturalistic driving. This paper introduces a new car-following modeling category called the empirical probabilistic paradigm, which bypasses conventional parametric assumptions. Within this paradigm, we propose the Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) model, which represents state transitions as a Markov process and predicts behavior by randomly sampling accelerations from empirical distributions within discretized state bins. Evaluation of the MC-CF model trained on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) demonstrates that its variants significantly outperform physics-based models including IDM, Gipps, FVDM, and SIDM in both one-step and open-loop trajectory prediction accuracy. Statistical analysis of transition probabilities confirms that the model-generated trajectories are indistinguishable from real-world behavior, successfully reproducing the probabilistic structure of naturalistic driving across all interaction types. Zero-shot generalization on the Naturalistic Phoenix (PHX) dataset further confirms the model's robustness. Finally, microscopic ring road simulations validate the framework's scalability. By incrementally integrating unconstrained free-flow trajectories and high-speed freeway data (TGSIM) alongside a conservative inference strategy, the model drastically reduces collisions, achieving zero crashes in multiple equilibrium and shockwave scenarios, while successfully reproducing naturalistic and stochastic shockwave propagation. Overall, the proposed MC-CF model provides a robust, scalable, and calibration-free foundation for high-fidelity stochastic traffic modeling, uniquely suited for the data-rich future of intelligent transportation.