Traffic prediction is the process of forecasting traffic conditions, such as congestion and travel times, using historical traffic data.
Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate trajectories under high occlusion uncertainty. To address these limitations, we propose a unified risk map modeling and learning framework for partially observable environments. Our method integrates traffic flow risk and collision risk through spatiotemporal modeling, enabling fine-grained assessment of occlusion-induced hazards. To address the scarcity of scenarios involving occluded interactions, we introduce a diffusion-based scenario generation framework that produces realistic yet adversarial scenarios. We integrate the modeling and learning of a unified risk map into a framework that supports risk-aware planning under partial observability. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset show that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art occlusion-aware baseline, improving minimum time-to-collision by 0.78 times and average time-to-collision by 1.67 times. The proposed framework offers a comprehensive and practical solution for risk-aware planning in partially observable environments.
Two-wheelers account for a disproportionately high share of road fatalities in the Global South. Research on two-wheeler rider behavior, however, lags far behind four-wheelers, where multimodal datasets have driven major advances in Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS). To address this gap, we present the MOtorized TwO-wheeler Rider (MOTOR) dataset, the first large-scale, multi-view, multimodal resource dedicated to two-wheelers in dense, unstructured traffic. MOTOR comprises 1,629 sequences (25+ hours of video data) collected from 16 riders and integrates synchronized front, rear, and helmet videos, rider eye-gaze from wearable trackers, on-road audio, and telemetry (GPS, accelerometer, gyroscope). Rich annotations capture traffic context, rider state, 12 riding maneuvers spanning conventional and unconventional behaviors, and legality labels (Legal, Illegal, Unspecified). We benchmark rider behavior recognition and maneuver legality classification using state-of-the-art video action recognition backbones (CNN and Transformer-based), extended with multimodal fusion, and find that combining RGB, gaze, and telemetry consistently yields the best performance. MOTOR thus provides a unique foundation for advancing safety-critical understanding of two-wheeler riding. It offers the research community a benchmark to develop and evaluate models for behavior analysis, legality-aware prediction, and intelligent transportation systems. Dataset and code is available at https: //varuniiith.github.io/MOTOR-Dataset/
Current end-to-end autonomous driving models are fundamentally constrained by the behavioral cloning ceiling of imitation learning. While reinforcement learning offers a path to smarter autonomy, it demands two missing pieces of infrastructure: (1) a cognitive foundation that understands traffic semantics and driving intent, and (2) a foresighted physical environment that can anticipate the consequences of candidate actions. To this end, we propose CoPhy, a CognitivePhysical reinforcement learning framework for autonomous driving. To distill to think, we distill VLM knowledge into the BEV encoder and then discard the VLM entirely, retaining cognitive ability at zero inference cost while releasing the cognitive channel as a pluggable interface for optional human language commands. To foresee to act, we build an auto-regressive BEV world model that explicitly predicts future semantic maps conditioned on candidate actions, serving as an interpretable physical sandbox from which safety metrics are directly derived. Built upon this dual infrastructure, we optimize the driving policy via GRPO with a novel dual-reward mechanism: a physical reward derived from BEV rollouts enforces hard safety constraints, while a cognitive reward from a language-aligned scorer ensures intent compliance. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoPhy not only achieves state-of-the-art results on NAVSIM v1 and v2 benchmarks, but also enables safer driving via cognitively informed scene compliance and flexible intent control through user-defined language instructions.
Understanding customer movement within retail spaces is essential for optimizing store layouts. Real-world trajectory data can provide highly accurate insights, but collecting it is costly and often infeasible for many retailers. Heuristics such as Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP) and Probabilistic Nearest Neighbours (PNN) are commonly used as inexpensive approximations, but actual customer trajectories deviate by an average of 28% from shortest paths, highlighting a tradeoff between accuracy and practicality. We propose an agent-based modelling framework that casts customer trajectory prediction as a maximum entropy reinforcement learning (RL) problem, balancing reward maximization with stochasticity to better reflect customers with bounded rationality. Using real-world trajectory data from a convenience store, we show that RL-generated trajectories align more closely with customer behaviour than TSP and PNN, providing more accurate estimates of impulse purchase rates and shelf traffic densities. Furthermore, only RL-based predictions yield repositioning decisions for impulse products that align with those derived from actual trajectory data, resulting in comparable estimated profit gains. Our work demonstrates that RL provides a practical, behaviourally grounded alternative that bridges the gap between oversimplified heuristics and data-intensive approaches, making accurate layout optimization more accessible. To encourage further research, the source code is available on GitHub.
End-to-end autonomous driving has emerged as a compelling alternative to traditional modular pipelines by directly mapping raw sensor data to driving actions. While recent approaches achieve strong performance on single-domain datasets, their performance degrades significantly when trained jointly across multiple heterogeneous domains. In practice, however, autonomous systems must operate across diverse environments with heterogeneous distributions, including different cities, sensor configurations, and traffic patterns, without domain-specific retraining. This gap highlights a key challenge in multi-domain learning: domain-specific variations across heterogeneous domains introduce conflicting learning signals, driving models toward compromised solutions that are suboptimal across domains. To address this, we propose a trajectory-driven learning paradigm that organizes training around planning trajectories, enabling the model to capture domain-invariant representations of driving intent. Furthermore, we incorporate a world model that predicts future latent features conditioned on ego actions, improving feature consistency and mitigating domain-induced biases. We evaluate our approach on three benchmarks, nuScenes, NAVSIM, and the Waymo end-to-end dataset, and show substantial improvements over existing methods across all domains. Our results demonstrate that a single unified model can be trained on heterogeneous datasets while maintaining strong performance within each domain, highlighting a step toward scalable real-world deployment. We will make our code publicly available.
Gradient-based adversarial attacks subtly manipulate inputs of Machine Learning (ML) models to induce incorrect predictions. This paper investigates whether careful architectural choices alone can yield an inherently robust Deep Neural Network (DNN)-based Network Intrusion Detection Systems (NIDS), without any additional explicit defenses. Through thousands of experiments, around 2200, varying network depth, feature dimensionality, activation functions, and dropout across FGSM, PGD, and BIM attacks, we show that shallower networks, reduced feature sets, and ReLU activation consistently and jointly reduce adversarial vulnerability. Moreover, a simple model following this recipe outperforms deeper, fully-featured adversarially trained models, while maintaining near-perfect clean-traffic detection and lower training times. Nevertheless, while less is more, the selection of the right less is what truly matters.
The efficient operation of modern cellular networks hinges on the accurate analysis of spatio-temporal traffic data. Mastering these patterns is essential for core network functions, chiefly forecasting future load to pre-empt congestion and imputing missing values caused by sensor failures or transmission errors to ensure data continuity. While deeply connected, forecasting and imputation have historically evolved as separate sub-fields. The dominant paradigm, Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs), while effective, are often specialized, computationally intensive, and exhibit limited generalization. Concurrently, adapting large pre-trained language models (LLMs) offers a powerful alternative for sequence modeling, yet existing approaches provide weak structural guidance, leading to unstable convergence and a narrow focus on forecasting. To bridge these gaps, we propose U-STS-LLM, a unified framework built on a spatio-temporally steered LLM. Our core innovation is a Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Attention Bias Generator that synthesizes a persistent functional graph with transient nodal states to explicitly steer the LLM's attention. Coupled with a partially frozen backbone tuned via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and a Gated Adaptive Fusion mechanism, the model achieves stable, parameter-efficient adaptation. Trained under a unified multi-task objective, U-STS-LLM learns a holistic data representation. Extensive experiments on real-world cellular datasets demonstrate that U-STS-LLM establishes new state-of-the-art performance in both long-horizon forecasting and high-missing-rate imputation, while maintaining remarkable training efficiency and stability, offering a novel blueprint for harnessing foundation models in structured, non-linguistic domains.
Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management. Existing approaches predominantly model traffic flow as aggregated time series, despite traffic dynamics being governed by aircraft states and interactions in continuous airspace. Such aggregation obscures fine-grained information including aircraft kinematics, boundary interactions, and control intent. Here we present AeroSense, a state-to-flow modeling framework that predicts future traffic flow directly from instantaneous airspace situations represented as dynamic sets of aircraft states derived from ADS-B trajectories. By establishing an end-to-end mapping from microscopic aircraft states to future regional traffic flow, AeroSense preserves aircraft-level dynamics while naturally accommodating varying traffic density without relying on historical look-back windows. Experiments on a large-scale real-world dataset show that AeroSense consistently improves predictive accuracy over aggregation-based forecasting approaches, particularly during high-density traffic periods. These findings suggest that instantaneous airspace situations provide an effective alternative to conventional time-series-based traffic forecasting paradigms.
Geospatial foundation models have primarily focused on raster data such as satellite imagery, where self-supervised learning has been widely studied. Vector geospatial data instead represent the world as discrete geoentities with explicit geometry, semantics, and structured spatial relations, including metric proximity and topological relationships. These relations jointly determine how entities interact within space, yet existing representation learning methods remain fragmented, often restricted to specific geometry types or partial spatial relations, limiting their ability to capture unified spatial context across heterogeneous geoentities. We propose NARA (Neural Anchor-conditioned Relation-Aware representation learning), a self-supervised framework for vector geoentities. NARA learns context-dependent representations by jointly modeling semantics, geometry, and spatial relations within a unified framework and captures relational spatial structure beyond proximity alone, enabling rich contextualized representations across heterogeneous geoentities of points, polylines, and polygons. Evaluation on building function classification, traffic speed prediction, and next point-of-interest recommendation shows consistent improvements over prior methods, highlighting the benefit of unified relational modeling for vector geospatial data.
This paper proposes a novel UAV-to-Vehicle (U2V) channel model for sixth-generation (6G) intelligent sensing-communication integration, based on three-dimensional (3D) scatterer prediction. To explore the mapping relationship between physical environment and electromagnetic space, a new high-fidelity mixed sensing-communication integration U2V simulation dataset under wide-lane scenarios with different vehicular traffic densities (VTDs) and UAV heights is constructed. Based on the constructed dataset, a novel 3D Scatterer Prediction and Distribution Estimation (3D-SPADE) algorithm is proposed, which leverages LiDAR point clouds to accurately predict the spatial distribution of scatterers. Furthermore, the clustering of scatterers and the subsequent classification into dynamic and static types are meticulously designed for highly dynamic U2V scenarios, while reducing computational complexity and improving modeling accuracy. As LiDAR point clouds vary over time, dynamic and static clusters evolve via 3D-SPADE, enabling precise modeling of channel non-stationarity and consistency. Simulation results demonstrate that, in the wide-lane scenario with varying VTDs and UAV heights, the proposed 3D-SPADE consistently achieves high scatterer occupancy detection performance within the voxel grid. In particular, under favorable configurations, recall reaches 93.26%, and precision reaches 95.74%, highlighting the reliability of 3D-SPADE. Key channel statistical characteristics are simulated and analyzed. These characteristics from the simulation experiments are highly consistent with ray-tracing results and exhibit better agreement than with the standardized model and inconsistent model, validating the necessity of exploring the mapping relationship and the effectiveness of the proposed model.